This year's crises in Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Somalia are pushing the number of people forced to flee their homes towards the 45 million mark - the highest number in at least a decade, U.N. refugee chief Antonio Guterres says.
There were around 16 million refugees and 26 million people uprooted within their own country at the end of 2008, according to the U.N. refugee agency's annual Global Trends report released on Tuesday. (See this factbox.)
Although this was a slight decline on 2007, it does not reflect the rapid displacements in the first half of this year.
Guterres said the mass exodus of people from northwest Pakistan, where the military is trying to rout Taliban militants, was probably the worst since the 1990s when conflict in Rwanda and Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) uprooted millions.
"We had 42 million (displaced globally) at the end of 2008 and very probably we will be getting close to 45 million at the present moment," he told AlertNet.
"What we're witnessing now is indeed, if not an unprecedented crisis, one of the most dramatic in recent times."
But he added: "More important in my opinion than the total number ... is the recognition that in many situations displacement is becoming protracted ... and at the same time the fact that 80 percent of the world's refugees and the overwhelming majority of those internally displaced are in the developing world."
Nearly 6 million refugees have been in exile - mostly in camps - for five years or more, the report shows. Developing countries hosting large refugee populations include Pakistan (1.8 million), Syria (1.1 million) and Iran (980,000).
Guterres said he was alarmed by the nature of debate in some wealthier countries facing the arrival of just a few thousand refugees.
"Those that debate asylum, migration and people on the move in the developed world should meditate a little bit before launching into xenophobic reaction trying to limit the right to seek asylum," he added.
BLURRED LINES
The number of internally displaced people (IDPs) has been rising faster than the number of refugees - those who have crossed a border - because of the changing nature of conflict. Since 2005, the U.N. refugee agency has seen the number of internally displaced people it cares for more than double.
"Being forced from your home by conflict or persecution is a tragedy whether you've crossed an international border or not," Guterres said.
"Today, we are seeing a relentless series of internal conflicts that are generating millions of uprooted people."
Colombia has one of the world's largest internally displaced populations, with estimates of some 3 million. Iraq had some 2.6 million, Sudan's Darfur region, 2 million, DRC, 1.5 million, and Somalia, 1.3 million.
Guterres said he was particularly worried by "shrinking humanitarian space" in many countries where the U.N. agency works. In some cases this was because governments were imposing restrictions on aid work.
But he said another factor is that conflicts have become a lot more complex with a multiplicity of armed groups all operating in the same area - some of which consider aid workers legitimate targets.
Guterres also feared the distinction between humanitarians and the military risked becoming more hazy - particularly where the United Nations had peacekeeping operations but there was no peace to keep.
"Things tend to be more blurred. It's essential to preserve the humanitarian principles of independence, neutrality and impartiality, but that of course becomes more and more challenging in situations like the ones we're witnessing in Darfur, North Kivu (DRC) and even Afghanistan," he added.
See also this Reuters report: Insecurity prevents more refugee returns - UNHCR
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