×

Our award-winning reporting has moved

Context provides news and analysis on three of the world’s most critical issues:

climate change, the impact of technology on society, and inclusive economies.

Tropical storm Manuel is forecast to strike Mexico as a hurricane at about 12:00 GMT on 15 September.

by Tropical Storm Risk | Tropical Storm Risk
Sunday, 15 September 2013 03:43 GMT

* Any views expressed in this article are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters Foundation.

Tropical storm Manuel is forecast to strike Mexico as a hurricane at about 12:00 GMT on 15 September. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 18.1 N, 102.7 W. Manuel is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 120 km/h (74 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Manuel's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.

The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Aon Benfield, Crawford&Company and University College London (UCL).

-->