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Immediate Ethiopia crisis may be averted, but high food prices loom

by Ruth Gidley | Thomson Reuters Foundation
Saturday, 12 July 2008 14:33 GMT

Government and U.N. action has averted an immediate hunger emergency in Ethiopia, but high food prices are still making it hard for parents to feed their children, a major medical charity said.

The cost of teff grain - used to make the thin, round spongy bread that accompanies most Ethiopian meals - has more than doubled in the past year, and lentils have quadrupled in price, said International Medical Corps (IMC).

"There is a food shortage," IMC's country director in Ethiopia, Seifu Woldeamanuel, told Reuters in a telephone interview from Addis Ababa. "I don't know how people will cope if no food is injected."

This year, aid agencies have issued warnings about similar problems in nearby countries dealing with the overlap of drought and high global food prices - Somalia, Kenya, Djibouti and parts of Uganda.

The outlook in Ethiopia is a little less bleak than it was a few weeks ago, when Woldeamanuel raised the alarm about a brewing food emergency.

The shorter of two annual rainy seasons had failed, and aid agencies had said people did not have enough potatoes and sweet potatoes to get them through until next harvest. Sharp rises in global food prices were also taking a toll.

At the same time, the U.N. World Food Programme (WFP) had warned it could not afford to provide for hungry Ethiopians, and the U.N. children's fund, UNICEF, had said as many as 6 million children under five were at risk of acute malnutrition.

RAINS

Now IMC says respite has arrived on several fronts - the rains have come, and the government and WFP have stepped up their promises of food aid. Woldeamanuel said the extra food would not only feed people but help bring prices down.

"WFP is normally the only source when there's drought or shortage ... (and it) didn't have enough. Now it seems they're planning to find more," Woldeamanuel said. "It's in control (now). We're expecting food to come."

But not all aid agencies agree the crisis has been averted.

The U.N. World Health Organisation (WHO) is calling for $25 million, saying the recent rains could in fact exacerbate the situation.

"The annual rains are expected to cause flooding, which could increase loss of crops and the risk of disease," said Paul Garwood, a WHO spokesman in Geneva.

The government and humanitarian agencies are appealing for a total of more than $300 million to combat this year's troubles, he said.

Ethiopia accused some aid agencies last month of exaggerating the drought's impact to raise money under false pretences.

It acknowledged that some 4.6 million people and around 75,000 children needed help because of the failure of the March-April rains, but said that did not add up to a famine.

IMC hadn't received any criticism from the government, Woldeamanuel said, and he wasn't overly worried. "It's always the case when you have such things," he said.

Woldeamanuel said he was still concerned about some parts of the country - particularly Oromia in the southwest - where aid workers say more children than usual are being brought to feeding centres in need of 24-hour care.

RURAL SUFFERING

"If no food comes quickly... we'll have a serious situation on our hands," Woldeamanuel said.

According to the U.N. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, more than 83 percent of Ethiopia's 81 million people live in rural areas. Most families farm their own food, which is risky in a country regularly ravaged by drought.

When times are hard, people travel to cities to look for work.

The World Bank says Ethiopia needs to rethink its dependence on subsistence agriculture and Woldeamanuel said the country needed to find alternative ways of creating employment and modernise its farming - for example by introducing small-scale irrigation to increase yields.

Woldeamanuel is convinced convinced population growth is a factor in Ethiopia's recurring hunger troubles. He argues more education on reproductive health would help cut family sizes and make it easier to find enough food to go round.

Until now, Ethiopian schemes giving out food and cash to families who live permanently on the edge were making a difference, Woldeamanuel said.

He's talking about people who don't have to watch their children get sick or malnourished, but rarely scrape together three meals a day.

Woldeamanuel said fewer Ethiopians had been in need of assistance lately, helped by government actions to improve medical care and boost agriculture, so this year's precarious conditions fly in the face of a trend.

"In the last two or three years, things had been getting better, by Ethiopian standards," he said.

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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