STOCKHOLM, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Sweden's centre-left opposition has a lead of between 5.3 and 5.7 percentage points over the ruling centre-right government ahead of Sunday's election, the last two scheduled polls before the vote showed.
Polls have consistently shown the centre left ahead, but a majority have shown the gap narrowing over the past two weeks.
A poll by Novus, commissioned by TV4, showed on Saturday the Social Democrat, Green and Left parties - which do not comprise a formal coalition - had 45.8 percent support against 40.5 percent for the four-party Alliance government - a 5.3-point lead. In the previous Novus poll, published on Sept. 10, the opposition had a 3.6 percent lead.
A poll by Sifo published earlier on Saturday and commissioned by daily Svenska Dagbladet, showed the opposition had 45.7 percent support against 40.0 percent for the government - a 5.7-point lead. In the previous Sifo poll on Sept. 10, the gap was 6.2 percentage points.
In the Sifo poll, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats got 10.3 points. Feminist Initiative, a left-of-centre party, got 3.0 percent, below the 4 percent threshold to get into parliament.
In the Novus poll, the Sweden Democrats got 9.6 points and Feminist Initiative 3.3 percent.
If the election result were to reflect the polls, the centre left would hold more seats in parliament than the current government but not an outright majority of 175 seats or more. The Sweden Democrats would be able to block government bills by siding with the Alliance.
The following is a table of opinion poll results: Bloc standings: Red-Green opposition Government parties
Novus 13/9/14 45.8 40.5
Sifo 13/9/14 45.7 40.0
Ipsos 12/9/14 46.4 39.6
Demoskop 12/9/14 46.1 38.5
Sifo 10/9/14 47.5 41.3
Novus 10/9/14 45.2 41.6
Demoskop 10/9/14 44.5 38.2
Novus 8/9/14 46.3 41.3
Ekot/Novus 7/9/14 47.1 38.5
Sifo 5/9/14 45.0 40.5
Demoskop 5/9/14 48.5 36.9
Novus 4/9/14 48.0 38.1
Ipsos 4/9/14 48.1 36.9
Novus 1/9/14 46.9 39.4
Sifo 29/8/14 46.1 38.8
Novus 28/8/14 49.5 38.4
Ipsos 28/8/14 48.8 37.7
Ekot/Novus 24/8/14 48.8 37.6
Sifo 22/8/14 48.7 38.0
Ipsos 20/8/14 50.4 35.6
Sifo 16/8/14 49.3 38.5
Sifo 9/8/14 48.7 38.9
Novus 7/8/14 49.0 38.5
Ekot/Novus 30/6/14 49.7 36.9
Ipsos 28/6/14 49.8 35.6
Novus 28/6/14 50.1 38.0
Sifo 15/6/14 48.8 37.0
Ipsos 30/5/14 50.2 37.2
Novus 29/5/14 50.8 38.4
SCB 27/5/14 51.3 36.8
Sifo 18/5/14 48.5 38.7
Skop 02/5/14 52.0 38.4
Ekot/Novus 01/5/14 51.9 37.3
Ipsos 30/4/14 52.5 36.6
Novus 24/4/14 51.9 36.7
Sifo 14/4/14 51.1 38.6
Ipsos 28/3/14 51.5 38.2
Sifo 16/3/14 50.5 39.0
Demoskop 07/3/14 53.7 34.6
Skop 05/3/14 51.7 38.3
Ekot/Novus 02/3/14 52.1 37.4
Ipsos 01/3/14 52.0 37.8
Novus 27/2/14 51.4 38.4
Sifo 16/2/14 52.8 36.0
Novus 30/1/14 51.1 36.6
Sifo 25/1/14 50.6 38.9
2010 election 43.6 49.3 Individual party standings: DATE INSTITUTE SDP G L M F C CD SD Fi 13/9/14 Novus 30.9 8.8 6.1 23.2 6.9 5.6 4.8 9.6 3.3 13/9/14 Sifo 31.1 8.3 6.3 21.2 6.8 6.5 5.5 10.3 3.0 12/9/14 Ipsos 28.6 10.3 7.4 21.7 6.4 5.7 5.7 9.4 3.6 12/9/14 Demoskop 29.2 9.7 7.2 20.9 5.9 6.8 4.9 10.2 3.9 10/9/14 Sifo 30.4 10.3 6.8 22.6 7.2 7.0 4.5 8.9 1.6 10/9/14 Novus 29.8 8.9 6.5 21.8 7.7 7.1 5.0 8.1 3.4 10/9/14 Demoskop 28.6 10.0 5.9 20.4 6.6 6.1 5.0 11.8 3.7 8/9/14 Novus 30.6 8.6 7.1 22.4 6.5 6.9 5.5 9.5 2.2 7/9/14 Ekot/Novus 30.0 9.9 7.2 22.4 6.2 5.1 4.8 10.4 2.6 5/9/14 Sifo 27.0 10.5 7.5 22.1 8.4 4.7 5.3 10.4 1.8 5/9/14 Demoskop 30.7 10.6 7.2 22.2 5.1 4.6 5.0 10.8 2.5 4/9/14 Novus 32.2 8.4 7.4 22.3 5.4 5.1 5.3 10.2 2.5 4/9/14 Ipsos 29.7 11.0 7.4 21.7 6.3 4.4 4.5 9.7 4.0 1/9/14 Novus 30.2 9.6 7.1 23.3 6.4 5.3 4.4 10.6 2.1 29/8/14 Sifo 29.0 11.0 6.1 22.6 5.8 5.9 4.5 11.0 2.9 28/8/14 Novus 32.2 10.6 6.7 21.3 6.8 6.0 4.3 8.9 2.7 28/8/14 Ipsos 32.1 10.1 6.6 22.1 6.4 5.1 4.0 9.6 3.0 24/8/14 Novus 30.8 10.9 7.1 22.9 6.2 4.5 4.0 10.0 2.9 22/8/14 Sifo 30.9 10.3 7.5 22.2 6.0 5.5 4.3 10.1 2.3 20/8/14 Ipsos 31.8 11.6 7.0 20.8 6.5 4.0 4.3 9.4 3.4 16/8/14 Sifo 30.3 11.1 7.9 24.6 6.7 3.8 3.4 10.1 2.0 9/8/14 Sifo 30.7 11.4 6.6 23.9 6.1 4.6 4.3 9.0 2.6 7/8/14 Novus 31.8 9.9 7.3 22.4 6.1 5.8 4.2 8.8 2.6 30/6/14 Ekot/Novus 30.8 12.0 6.9 21.1 6.6 5.5 3.7 9.0 3.3 28/6/14 Ipsos 31.1 11.3 7.4 20.5 6.3 5.6 3.3 9.6 3.7 28/6/14 Novus 32.1 11.3 6.7 21.2 6.8 5.6 4.4 8.3 2.9 15/6/14 Sifo 29.4 13.0 6.4 21.2 6.8 5.5 3.5 9.0 3.4 30/5/14 Ipsos 31.3 10.2 8.7 22.6 5.8 4.3 4.5 7.8 3.9 29/5/14 Novus 32.4 10.1 8.3 24.3 6.0 3.9 4.2 7.7 2.1 27/5/14 SCB 35.3 8.0 8.0 22.7 5.3 4,9 3.9 8.1 2.5 18/5/14 Sifo 30.9 10.3 7.3 23.2 7.0 5.0 3.5 8.8 2.9 02/5/14 Skop 34.9 10.7 6.4 23.4 7.8 4.5 2.7 7.3 01/5/14 Ekot/Novus 32.9 10.4 8.6 24.3 5.8 3.8 3.4 8.2 30/4/14 Ipsos 33.1 9.9 9.4 24.6 5.4 3.6 3.0 7.6 24/4/14 Novus 33.5 10.8 7.6 23.7 5.4 4.0 3.6 8.8 14/4/14 Sifo 32.1 10.6 8.4 24.5 6.7 3.8 3.6 8.3 28/3/14 Ipsos 33.5 10.4 7.6 23.6 6.9 4.1 3.7 7.8 16/3/14 Sifo 34.1 10.1 6.3 24.2 5.4 4.7 4.7 8.0 07/3/14 Demoskop 32.7 12.5 8.4 22.6 5.1 3.6 3.3 10.0 05/3/14 Skop 33.8 9.9 8.0 26.5 4.6 4.1 3.1 8.2 02/3/14 Ekot/Novus 34.5 9.5 8.1 24.4 5.8 3.5 3.7 8.7 01/3/14 Ipsos 35.1 9.0 7.9 24.7 6.0 3.5 3.5 7.9 27/2/14 Novus 33.3 9.7 8.4 25.7 4.7 4.2 3.8 8.7 16/2/14 Sifo 34.9 9.7 8.2 22.8 6.7 2.8 3.7 9.5 30/1/14 Novus 33.8 9.2 8.1 24.5 5.1 3.5 3.5 11.0 25/1/14 Sifo 32.9 9.4 8.3 25.4 6.5 3.7 3.3 9.2 2010 election: 30.7 7.3 5.6 30.1 7.1 6.6 5.6 5.7
Parties need a minimum of 4 percent of votes to get seats in parliament. SDP = Social Democrats, lead centre-left opposition bloc G = Green Party, environmentalist allies of the SDP L = Left Party, former Communist Party, allies of SDP M = Moderates, largest in ruling centre-right coalition F = Folk Liberals, junior member of coalition government C = Centre, junior member of coalition government CD = Christian Democrats, smallest in governing Alliance SD = The Swedish Democrats, far-right, anti-immigrant, unaligned to either centre-left or centre-right blocs Fi = The Feminist Initiative, left-wing (Reporting by Anna Ringstrom; Editing by John Stonestreet)
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